Preparing estimates of political positions and writing future scenarios

Preparing estimates of political positions and writing future scenarios

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Introduction

    The importance of training courses is not only limited to professional life, as most of us think but training courses aim to transfer knowledge and practical experiences that enrich the skills of individuals and enhance their self-confidence, which contributes to the preparation of cadres which in turn contributes to the development and progress of institutions. Therefore, Strategic Vision Training Center aims to enhance the skills and experiences of individuals through the strongest training programs to keep pace with every development in the labor market.
 

Objective

This program aims to provide participants with the necessary skills to analyze media and political content and prepare a position assessment paper. Political analysis skills are considered one of the most important skills needed by writers, researchers, politicians, and the media. It is an indispensable skill for understanding events, understanding their connotations and interactions, and presenting a sound, integrated, and clear analytical picture of the events and their paths.

  Those interested in future forecasts usually resort to preparing situational estimates or strategic estimates, which study the set of circumstances and factors affecting certain issues, and their future possibilities, and try to arrive at the most likely possibility or scenario, and then make their recommendations on the subject. Usually, think tanks or specialized experts Preparing an assessment of the situation, so that decision-makers in the political, economic, and other fields can benefit from it.

  • Correct understanding of political events and their implications.
  • A better understanding of the way political forces are formed and their relative weights.
  • Achieving a better understanding of the elements of strength, available opportunities, risks and potential challenges when dealing with political events.
  • Developing political writing skills and analysis methods among participants.
  • Acquiring political analysis skills.
  • Knowledge of the concepts and components of political analysis.
  • Realizing the importance of accurate political analysis in making rational decisions.
  • Correct understanding of political events and their implications.
  • A better understanding of the way political forces are formed and their relative weights.
  • Achieving a better understanding of the elements of strength, available opportunities, risks and potential challenges when dealing with political events.
  • Developing political writing skills and analysis methods among participants.
  • Develop political potential and the ability to understand and analyze events.
  • Build scenarios and forecasts, and identify likely scenarios.
  • Future political outlook.
  • The ability to formulate and write politically to assess the situation.
     

Who should attend?

  • News directors and members of departments in media institutions.
  • Editors and workers in the field of managing and producing news bulletins.
  • Leaders and senior administrations in the country.
  • Those concerned with political aspects in the media.
  • Workers in scientific research and studies centers.
  • Those working in the diplomatic and political field in governments, parties, parliaments and embassies.
  • Leaders and cadres of political parties.
  • Leaders of public work and civil society organizations.
  • Students of political science, economics and history.
  • Anyone who finds himself in need of this course and wants to develop his skills and experience.
     

Course content:

  • The first axis: What is “situation estimates”?
    • Distinguish between a situation assessment, a report, and an article
    • The importance of assessing the situation
    • Attributes and characteristics of situation estimation
  • The second axis: Controls for writing political estimates
    • Preset before writing
    • Writing style
    • Presenting alternatives and options
    • Control the search path
    • The importance of information
    • Brainstorming
  • The third axis: How to prepare and write estimates of political positions
    • Scientific tools for forecasting
    • The status and importance of forecasting
    • Development of forecasting implications
    • Forecasting approaches:
    • Structural approach
    • Time series designs
    • Game theory method
  • The fourth axis: the structure of the field of future studies
    • Future studies and their development
    • The importance of future studies
    • The most important approaches and methods used in future studies
    • Problems facing future studies
    • Distinguishing future studies from knowledge and sciences close to them
  • The fifth axis: Foresight between theory and reality
  • What is forecasting and building scenarios?
    • Delphi methodology from intuition to foresight
    • Theoretical approaches in prospective studies
    • How does foresight help build future visions?
    • Building future scenarios
    • Future applications and models
  • The reality of future studies in Arab academic and research institutions
  • Challenges facing Arab future studies

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